• 9th Annual Report  • Published May 2026  • 42 pages

SUPPLY, DEMAND & OPPORTUNITY.

The only sector-by-sector supply and demand analysis of America’s technician workforce, drawn from federal IPEDS and BLS data. Now covering ten priority sectors from automotive and HVAC to aviation, medical equipment, and industrial machinery.

241,842
Annual Tech
Job Openings
101,743
Annual Tech
Graduates
58%
Unmet Demand
(Supply Gap)
$7.42B
Annual Economic
Output Lost
1.2M
New Techs Needed
by 2029
Three findings shape this year's report

The headline has changed.

For eight years, this report told the industry there was a shortage. The 2026 edition tells the country that the moment to act is now - and that the people willing to fill these jobs are already showing up.

Gen Z is showing up

School graduations grew 7.6% in a year, up across eight of ten sectors. 100,000+ active users on TechForce's platform, with 2,000 to 5,000 new every month. The stigma is breaking. The interest is real.

The system is not ready for them

241,842 annual openings against 101,743 graduates. Even with strong pipeline growth, supply meets barely 42% of demand. The result: $7.42 billion in wage-based economic output lost every year to unfilled positions.

The policy window is open

Executive Order 14278. WIOA state plan modifications across all 50 states. Federal investment in skilled careers at a level not seen in a generation. This is the data that makes those investments critical.

Ten sectors. One workforce crisis.

Where the gap lives.

For the first time, the report covers ten sectors. Some, like aviation, fill most of their demand. Others, like medical equipment and industrial machinery, fill less than one in five positions.

Automotive
$49,670 median
Gap29%
Collision
$51,680 median
Gap57%
Diesel
$60,640 median
Gap52%
Aircraft
$78,680 median
Gap20%
Avionics
$81,390 median
Gap60%
HVAC
$59,810 median
Gap36%
Ind. Machinery
$63,500 median
Gap85%
Medical Equip.
$62,630 median
Gap91%
Ag / Farm
$52,080 median
Gap83%
Small Engine
$48,240 median
Gap82%
What's inside

Forty-two pages. Ten sectors.Nine years of trend data.

01
The Headline Has Changed
Gen Z, the system, the policy window.
02
The Bottom Line
241,842 jobs, 101,743 grads, 58% gap.
03
Eight Years of Proof
What's changed since 2017.
04
Future-Ready Careers
Wages, paths, AI-resistance.
05
A Workforce Shortage Measured in GDP
$7.42B annual. $37B over 5 years.
06
Why Pipeline Growth Won't Close the Gap
Retention data across all 10 sectors.
07
Sector Deep Dives
10 sectors with demand, supply, top schools.
08
Who Are America's Technicians?
Age, gender, and the pipeline pool.
09
The Strategic Moment
Why this report crosses into policy.
10
Methodology & Sources
IPEDS, BLS OOH, OEWS, Lightcast.
For journalists, researchers, and policy staff

How to cite this report.

Nine years of longitudinal data. Federally sourced. Cite confidently.

APA — 7th edition
TechForce Foundation. (2026). Supply, Demand & opportunity: 2026 technician workforce report. https://techforce.org/supplydemand/
Chicago — Author-Date
TechForce Foundation. 2026. "Supply, Demand & Opportunity: 2026 Technician Workforce Report." TechForce Foundation. https://techforce.org/supplydemand/.
Plain text — for press releases
Source: TechForce Foundation, 2026 Supply, Demand & Opportunity Report. Federal data: IPEDS (NCES) and BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook 2024–2034.

Media inquiries: info@techforce.org

METHODOLOGY

Supply: IPEDS C2024_A (AY 2023–24), administered by NCES, U.S. Department of Education. First majors only, all undergraduate award levels, across 10 CIP-coded technician programs.

Demand: BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook 2024–2034 annual openings (employment growth + replacement). 5-year averages 2025–2029 across 10 SOC codes.

Economic impact: BLS OEWS May 2024 median annual wage per SOC × annual gap per sector, summed across 10 sectors. Wage-based only — excludes multiplier effects on parts, healthcare delivery, food supply, aviation safety. Full methodology in the report appendix.

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"By connecting students, instructors, industry pros and working techs, the TechForce Foundation provides unilateral support to the transportation industry’s technician recruiting needs… The administration of our Scholarships by the TechForce team has been instrumental in delivering us with a successful method to gain interest from qualified candidates as well as provide our students with additional assistance to complete their education."
Tony Farr
Ford Technical Programs Manager